North Korea- US Crisis

Introduction:

Most accounts of the Korean crisis are written from the perspective of Pyongyang’s rivals
Where an erratic, despotic regime is portrayed as relentlessly pursuing dangerous weapons in defiance of international public opinion and sanctions.
But if one looks at the whole issue from a North Korean security point of view, it is not hard to find a method behind the North’s actions.
It’s a country that’s been technically at war with its neighbour for almost seven decades.
There are also multiple U.S. bases in South Korea, the Philippines, Japan, Guam Island and a naval presence in the East China Sea and the Pacific, in the vicinity of North Korea.
In terms of conventional military might, the impoverished North knows that it’s no match for the U.S.
This has forced it to make extreme choices to overcome the asymmetry in capabilities.
A military solution to the North Korean issue is even more difficult thats the reason north korea prefer for Nuclear Weapon.

Background: North Korea

In the early history North Korea was allies with China & USSR but this strategic insecurity was reinforced in the 1990s when Russia became a directionless, timid, floating power after the disintegration of the Soviet Union and China gradually moved closer to the U.S.
These were the only allies North Korea had but now they also became allies of US. SO North Korea moved towards Nuclear Weapon to keep themselves secure from external war.
In 1992, China established formal relations with South Korea, which deepened Pyongyang’s concerns.
Adopting a two-pronged strategy, it fast-tracked its missile and nuclear programmes — even announcing its intention to pull out of the Nuclear NonProliferation Treaty, or NPT — and expressed a willingness to negotiate
Clinton: Tried to sign nuclear treaty with North Korea but he lost in next election so failed to sign tretay.
But after that bush axis of evil
Obama also tries to sign nuclear treaty but failed.
Now trump not doing well.

Now Military solution?

Military solution is difficult now.
For a diplomatic solution, the North will have to make great compromises.
In the 1990s, North Korea was an aspiring nuclear power and all it needed to surrender was its ambition in return for security.
Now that it is a nuclear power, will it abandon its nuclear weapons in return for security assurances?
Perhaps no, examples of Iraq, Libya, Iran.
North Korea dont have a trust on US anymore. So definetely North Korea will never sign nuclear treaty with US.

North korea using China template: Rogue nuclear power to Mainstream international order.

North Korea would rather prefer a Chinese model.
China exploded its first nuclear bomb in 1964, which led to it being treated as a rogue nuclear power.
But China was accepted into the mainstream international order in the 1970s.
Even the U.S., its main rival, initiated a diplomatic process with Beijing.
Mr. Kim may be betting on both his nuclear deterrence as well as his chances of being accommodated as a nuclear power in the international system, a game of chicken scenario.
Conflict is inevitable if the U.S. and North Korea keep going down the path they are now on.

Mayur Dhokchaule